Vimy vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
51.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
10º
6º
32
5º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VIM
1 - 3
LEN
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 1
VIM
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
VIM
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 1
LPV
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 1
CHA
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
DRA
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DRA
6 - 1
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 1
CHA
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAI
0 - 0
DRA
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 0
DRA
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |