Vimy vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
6º
36
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AAC
0 - 1
VIM
28%
23%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
USM
1 - 2
VIM
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VIM
3 - 1
IRI
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
5 - 2
VIM
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
VIM
33%
23%
45%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
VAL
23%
24%
54%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
AAC
37%
27%
36%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LON
1 - 3
COM
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
USM
2 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
IRI
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |