Viimsi JK vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
9º
3º
48
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viimsi JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 2
VJK
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 2
VJK
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 3
VJK
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VJK
3 - 1
TKA
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
VJK
0 - 1
KUR
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
FLO
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 2
TKA
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 1
WEL
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 0
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 3
WEL
31%
24%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |