Vilzing vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
18º
9º
8
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
NUR
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 1
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
WAC
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
3 - 2
VIL
26%
25%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 2
WUR
10%
19%
71%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
BAY
24%
24%
53%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 1
VIK
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 1
NUR
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
4 - 1
VIK
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |