Vilzing vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
11º
18º
15º
25
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 33 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 26 |
17º
|
47.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 25 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 71% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33.5% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 2
VIL
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
ILL
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
GRE
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 2
VIL
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
EIN
70%
18%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TSA
1 - 1
WUR
12%
20%
69%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
TSA
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 0
TSA
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 3
NUR
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ANS
2 - 1
TSA
48%
23%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |