Vilzing vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
55.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ROS
0 - 1
VIL
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
SON
56%
21%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIL
63%
19%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
ERL
79%
13%
7%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 1
RAI
67%
19%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 0
KOT
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
KIR
1 - 1
HEI
10%
15%
75%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
HEI
4 - 0
HAH
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RUH
0 - 2
HEI
5%
11%
84%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
HEI
0 - 0
AMB
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |