Vilzing vs Dachau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 0
VIL
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAD
52%
22%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
3 - 1
VIL
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 3
SCH
62%
21%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
EIC
3 - 3
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dachau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DAC
1 - 1
LAN
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 0
DAC
61%
20%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 2
DAC
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
EIC
3 - 5
DAC
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DAC
5 - 0
BAD
25%
22%
54%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |