Vilzing vs FC Augsburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
18º
9º
11
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
4 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIK
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
NUR
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 1
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 0
AUG
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NUR
3 - 1
AUG
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
7 - 1
ANS
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
2 - 1
AUG
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 5
TSA
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -2 |