Vilzing vs Rosenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 0
VIL
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
LAN
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 2
VIL
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
EIC
50%
23%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UNT
1 - 2
VIL
54%
22%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rosenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ROS
3 - 1
LAN
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DAC
2 - 0
ROS
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
EIC
2 - 1
ROS
40%
24%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 0
ROS
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ROS
2 - 0
BAD
62%
21%
18%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |