Villingen vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
62.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
ILL
54%
22%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
AST
35%
24%
40%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
STU
1 - 1
VIL
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ASV
3 - 2
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
STP
2 - 0
FSV
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TUS
2 - 1
STP
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
ING
0 - 1
STP
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
STP
2 - 0
M05
28%
27%
46%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
RWA
1 - 0
STP
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |