Villingen vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
AST
35%
24%
40%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
STU
1 - 1
VIL
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ASV
3 - 2
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
VFR
80%
14%
7%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 2
HOF
26%
24%
51%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
NOR
4 - 0
ILL
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
VFR
2 - 2
ILL
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 0
ILL
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ILL
1 - 1
BAH
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |