Villingen vs Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 0
SIN
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
OFF
0 - 3
VIL
40%
25%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AST
2 - 0
VIL
73%
18%
10%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
NOT
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
3 - 2
OFF
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 0
HOL
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SIN
4 - 0
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 3
AST
22%
23%
56%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
3 - 0
HOL
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |