Villingen vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LUD
1 - 2
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIL
68%
19%
14%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
KSC
13%
22%
65%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +5 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
NOR
4 - 0
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
STU
3 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
HEI
1 - 2
ULM
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BAH
2 - 1
HEI
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
HEI
2 - 0
BON
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
HEI
6 - 0
LUD
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
FVL
1 - 2
HEI
18%
22%
61%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |