Villingen vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
47.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SPI
3 - 1
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
PFU
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
RAV
3 - 2
VIL
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
GFR
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 1
ULM
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 0
FRE
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
REU
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 1
FRE
63%
20%
16%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 1
FRE
12%
19%
70%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |