Villingen vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 2
ULM
12%
20%
69%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
BAH
3 - 2
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BON
2 - 1
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
VFR
4 - 1
VIL
75%
17%
9%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 0
REU
13%
21%
66%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
FRE
0 - 2
ULM
13%
21%
66%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
BON
38%
28%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
FVL
0 - 3
FRE
48%
26%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
VFR
0 - 1
FRE
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 1
REU
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |