Villenave vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villenave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
VIL
35%
24%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
AUR
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
VIL
42%
24%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LES
3 - 0
VIL
46%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GDB
3 - 0
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BLA
2 - 0
LES
19%
23%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 0
BLA
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BLA
0 - 0
FAB
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BER
1 - 0
BLA
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 2
NIM
30%
27%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |