Villenave vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villenave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LEG
3 - 2
VIL
64%
19%
16%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 3
ROD
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TOU
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
ANG
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
BLA
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BER
0 - 0
LES
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
BER
38%
27%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BER
4 - 2
FAB
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
BAY
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LEG
2 - 1
BER
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |