Villenave vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villenave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FAB
3 - 1
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
BER
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LEG
3 - 2
VIL
64%
19%
16%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 3
ROD
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TOU
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
LES
35%
27%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 0
BAY
36%
28%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAB
1 - 0
BAL
39%
25%
37%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
BER
38%
27%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LES
1 - 0
BAL
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |