Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-4
Villena vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
CFC
3 - 1
VIL
61%
24%
16%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
VIL
0 - 0
ALZ
65%
22%
13%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
RCF
3 - 1
VIL
64%
19%
18%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
IBI
2 - 2
VIL
49%
28%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
VIL
0 - 0
ALM
82%
13%
4%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
RCF
4 - 1
UPL
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
RCF
2 - 0
TRJ
71%
20%
9%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
RCF
3 - 1
VIL
64%
19%
18%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
RCF
3 - 0
RUN
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CDO
1 - 0
RCF
76%
17%
7%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |