Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
Villena vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
VIL
3 - 2
ZAR
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
LLE
4 - 2
VIL
66%
23%
11%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
VIL
0 - 2
YEC
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
CON
3 - 1
VIL
52%
29%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
VIL
3 - 0
MAN
63%
24%
14%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
CDO
1 - 1
GRA
82%
15%
4%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ARO
0 - 0
CDO
27%
35%
38%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
CDO
5 - 2
UPL
74%
19%
7%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
GIM
1 - 0
CDO
35%
30%
35%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
CDO
0 - 1
SSC
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |