Villena vs Novelda UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
VIL
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
POL
41%
23%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 3
VIL
70%
18%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
MUT
38%
23%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
BEN
40%
25%
35%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NUD
1 - 4
TOR
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 3
NUD
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VIJ
0 - 3
NUD
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NUD
2 - 1
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
POL
0 - 2
NUD
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |