Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-5
Villena vs Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
VIL
2 - 2
JOV
54%
26%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CRE
3 - 0
VIL
54%
26%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
LEV
5 - 0
VIL
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VIL
1 - 2
ELD
46%
30%
24%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
GAN
0 - 0
VIL
54%
27%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
LEV
3 - 0
LLE
78%
16%
7%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
GIM
1 - 0
LEV
31%
32%
38%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
LEV
5 - 0
VIL
90%
7%
3%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
LEV
6 - 0
CDB
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
LIN
2 - 2
LEV
32%
32%
36%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |