Villena B vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
66.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 3
PEA
45%
21%
35%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ELC
3 - 0
VIL
38%
21%
41%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
ATL
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
BIA
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PET
6 - 2
VIL
78%
13%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CCT
2 - 1
CAS
15%
17%
68%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
BNY
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ONI
1 - 1
CAS
58%
19%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
DNA
2 - 1
CAS
50%
20%
30%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
DNA
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |