Villegas vs Sporting Cascajos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
2.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
CDA
4 - 5
VIL
9%
14%
78%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAL
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 1
VIL
16%
19%
66%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
ILO
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 2
VIL
5%
11%
84%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cascajos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 4
BAÑ
27%
21%
53%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CDS
3 - 0
SPO
73%
15%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
CFC
10%
14%
77%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RBF
3 - 0
SPO
67%
17%
17%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
AUT
5%
12%
83%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | 0 |