Villegas vs Pradejón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALB
23%
22%
54%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
PRA
4 - 1
VIL
79%
14%
6%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 4
TED
11%
18%
72%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pradejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
PRA
1 - 3
BER
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VIA
5 - 2
PRA
38%
27%
36%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PRA
3 - 1
AGO
38%
25%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
PRA
4 - 1
VIL
79%
14%
6%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
COM
2 - 2
PRA
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |