Villegas vs Pradejón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BER
2 - 1
VIL
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 4
ALF
7%
15%
77%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIL
45%
24%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
OYO
18%
23%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
TED
4 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pradejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PRA
6 - 1
YAG
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 2
PRA
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PRA
0 - 1
HAR
10%
17%
73%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SDL
3 - 0
PRA
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 2
VAR
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |