Villegas vs Peña Balsamaiso CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CDF
0 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 3
ALF
13%
20%
68%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
ARN
51%
24%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIA
2 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 2
RIV
30%
24%
46%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
VIA
51%
23%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 1
OYO
37%
26%
37%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SMC
3 - 0
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
SDL
6%
13%
81%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |