Villegas vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
81.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ANG
2 - 0
VIL
93%
5%
2%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAL
37%
24%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 5
ARN
6%
14%
81%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
6 - 0
VIL
87%
9%
3%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 3
ALB
16%
19%
65%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAX
1 - 2
ARN
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
NAX
22%
22%
57%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NAX
2 - 0
ALB
89%
8%
4%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
OYO
0 - 3
NAX
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
NAX
0 - 2
VAR
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |