Villegas vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
78.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 2
SMC
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
RAP
0 - 2
VIL
25%
24%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
TED
34%
25%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
5 - 0
VIL
84%
12%
4%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 4
HAR
6%
14%
80%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
NAX
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
NAX
1 - 1
PEÑ
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
NAX
1 - 1
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
NAX
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
NAX
2 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |