Villegas vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
78.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.5%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OYO
2 - 3
VIL
73%
18%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 6
CLH
6%
15%
79%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UDL
4 - 0
VIL
87%
10%
3%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 4
SDL
5%
12%
83%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 0
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NAX
3 - 2
VAR
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AGO
1 - 2
NAX
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NAX
6 - 2
VIA
87%
10%
3%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 5
NAX
10%
18%
72%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAX
54%
24%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |