Villegas vs River Ebro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 0
VIL
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
NAX
7%
15%
78%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OYO
2 - 3
VIL
73%
18%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 6
CLH
6%
15%
79%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UDL
4 - 0
VIL
87%
10%
3%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
River Ebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 4
VAR
6%
12%
82%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AGO
2 - 2
RIV
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 1
VIA
37%
25%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 2
RIV
35%
25%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
RIV
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |