Villegas vs River Ebro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
OYO
2 - 2
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
SMC
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SDL
3 - 0
VIL
90%
8%
2%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALB
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CLH
3 - 0
VIL
87%
10%
3%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
River Ebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
VIA
56%
23%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARN
66%
20%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
OYO
0 - 3
RIV
52%
24%
23%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
SMC
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SDL
2 - 1
RIV
88%
9%
3%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |