Villegas vs River Ebro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AGO
3 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
NAX
12%
20%
68%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
6 - 0
VIL
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
BAL
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 0
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
River Ebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
CDF
55%
22%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
OYO
41%
26%
34%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AGO
2 - 2
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
NAX
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
4 - 0
RIV
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |