Villegas vs CF Ciudad Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 1
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 1
VIL
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
OYO
1 - 0
VIL
70%
20%
10%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDF
17%
22%
61%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CF Ciudad Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CIU
0 - 3
CDF
20%
23%
57%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
CIU
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CIU
0 - 2
AGO
13%
22%
65%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NAX
5 - 0
CIU
86%
11%
4%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CIU
0 - 3
HAR
10%
19%
71%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |