Villegas vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
21%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIA
29%
26%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
OYO
22%
25%
53%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
VIA
41%
26%
33%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 1
CDF
53%
23%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 2
OYO
36%
27%
38%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SMC
2 - 1
CDF
51%
24%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 5
SDL
5%
13%
82%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | -2 |