Villegas vs Varea B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALD
2 - 0
VIL
30%
21%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 0
BAÑ
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 0
VIL
7%
13%
79%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
8 - 1
CFC
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 2
ALB
54%
20%
27%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 3
VAR
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 2
RBF
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
VAR
29%
23%
49%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ILO
1 - 3
VAR
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |