Villegas vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OYO
1 - 1
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
TED
40%
24%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AGO
1 - 1
VIL
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
NAX
7 - 0
VIL
93%
6%
2%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 5
CLH
6%
13%
81%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | -2 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
YAG
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 5
HAR
6%
14%
80%
|
8 | 39 | 31 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SDL
2 - 0
CAS
91%
7%
2%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
ANG
7%
14%
80%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | -1 |