Villegas vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 2
VIL
12%
17%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
RBF
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
BAÑ
29%
23%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 2
VIL
81%
13%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 3
ALD
22%
21%
58%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
BAÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
ALD
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SDS
0 - 1
CAL
12%
19%
69%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAX
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |