Villegas vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 0
VIL
73%
16%
11%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
RIV
9%
16%
76%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
ANG
6%
14%
81%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BER
3 - 0
VIL
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
ARN
6%
15%
79%
|
6 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
BER
10%
17%
73%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VIA
2 - 0
CAL
69%
20%
12%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NAX
2 - 0
CAL
90%
8%
3%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 4
RRI
6%
13%
81%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAS
11%
20%
69%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |