Villegas vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+222%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CDF
0 - 2
VIL
74%
17%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
8 - 0
VIL
94%
5%
1%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
AGO
12%
21%
67%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIA
1 - 0
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
RIV
24%
23%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
VAR
5%
12%
83%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
AGO
4 - 0
CAL
67%
20%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
VIA
47%
25%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 2
CAL
47%
25%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAS
21%
23%
56%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |