Villegas vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+140%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CLH
1 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 2
AGO
26%
25%
49%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 0
VIL
81%
14%
6%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
BAL
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
CDF
45%
26%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAL
4 - 1
SMC
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
AGO
3 - 0
CAL
67%
21%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
ALF
11%
20%
69%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAL
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |