Villegas vs CD Berceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
79.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARN
5 - 0
VIL
87%
9%
3%
|
6 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 5
OYO
7%
16%
77%
|
6 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CDF
4 - 2
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 9
VAR
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
6 - 0
VIL
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Berceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BER
0 - 5
CDF
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VIA
2 - 1
BER
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BER
1 - 2
COM
66%
18%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AGO
2 - 2
BER
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BER
2 - 0
ANG
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |