Villegas vs Bañuelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 3
VIL
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
REB
2 - 2
VIL
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 3
HAR
40%
21%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TED
2 - 2
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 2
RRF
38%
22%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bañuelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAÑ
2 - 1
TED
29%
23%
49%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
BAÑ
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BAÑ
4 - 3
CDS
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 4
BAÑ
35%
23%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAÑ
2 - 1
ILO
64%
18%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |