Villegas vs Autol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CDB
0 - 0
VIL
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
CDS
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TED
2 - 0
VIL
41%
24%
36%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
PRA
42%
23%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RAP
3 - 2
VIL
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AUT
1 - 2
TED
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AUT
0 - 6
MLL
4%
15%
81%
|
18 | 80 | 62 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 0
RAP
50%
22%
27%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RBF
0 - 4
AUT
6%
13%
81%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
AUT
3 - 3
CDS
80%
14%
7%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |