Villegas vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
79%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
OYO
2 - 1
VIL
83%
12%
5%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
CDF
12%
19%
70%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VAR
8 - 0
VIL
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
ALF
7%
15%
79%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ANG
2 - 0
VIL
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
CDF
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
ARN
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 1
ALF
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VIA
0 - 1
ARN
16%
21%
63%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
3 - 0
COM
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |