Villegas vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
80.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
6 - 0
VIL
87%
9%
3%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 3
ALB
16%
19%
65%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
OYO
3 - 1
VIL
84%
12%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
VAR
5 - 0
VIL
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 4
CDC
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
4 - 0
CAL
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALF
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 2
ARN
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
OYO
3 - 0
ARN
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 1
VAR
24%
22%
55%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |