Villefranche vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOA
1 - 3
VIL
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
UJA
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAN
2 - 2
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
MOU
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
STR
2 - 2
NAN
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 1
STR
15%
24%
61%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STR
1 - 1
JUR
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SOC
0 - 0
STR
15%
23%
62%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
STR
2 - 0
RAO
76%
17%
7%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |