Villefranche vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
MOU
3 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAR
52%
23%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 0
BEL
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VES
0 - 0
VIL
31%
27%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 2
FCM
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
SPI
2 - 1
BEL
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VES
1 - 2
SPI
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SPI
3 - 0
FCM
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MOA
2 - 3
SPI
26%
25%
50%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SPI
1 - 1
RAO
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |