Villefranche vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
VIL
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GFO
1 - 2
VIL
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LGM
0 - 3
VIL
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
LEP
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
AUX
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASS
4 - 1
LOR
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 0
REN
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
ASS
27%
28%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 3
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |