Villefranche vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
SPI
22%
24%
55%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MOU
3 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAR
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 0
BEL
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
42%
27%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 1
NIC
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 1
ROD
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FCM
1 - 0
NIC
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |